April y/y CPI was 3.8%
The Cleveland Fed’s inflation nowcast has May y/y CPI jumping to 4.2%.
https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/2058162957641474110
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US - Market Strategy 04 (Jul 25 - Dec 27)
Re: US - Market Strategy 04 (Jul 25 - Dec 27)
by behappyalways » Mon May 25, 2026 10:46 am
血要热 头脑要冷 骨头要硬
- behappyalways
- Millionaire Boss
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- Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 4:43 pm
Re: US - Market Strategy 04 (Jul 25 - Dec 27)
by winston » Tue May 26, 2026 10:32 pm
HIGHS AND LOWS
NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Goldman Sachs (GS)... financial giant
Morgan Stanley (MS)... financial giant
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)... financial services
MetLife (MET)... insurance
Apple (AAPL)... Big Tech
Dell Technologies (DELL)... laptops and PCs
Cisco Systems (CSCO)... networking tech
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)... semiconductors
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM)... semiconductors
Delta Air Lines (DAL)... airline
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD)... brewing giant
Ross Stores (ROST)... discount retail
NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
PDD (PDD)... Chinese e-commerce
CAE (CAE)... flight training
Li Auto (LI)... Chinese EV-maker
Trip.com (TCOM)... "China's Priceline"
Comstock Resources (CRK)... natural gas
Source: Daily Wealth
NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Goldman Sachs (GS)... financial giant
Morgan Stanley (MS)... financial giant
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)... financial services
MetLife (MET)... insurance
Apple (AAPL)... Big Tech
Dell Technologies (DELL)... laptops and PCs
Cisco Systems (CSCO)... networking tech
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)... semiconductors
Tower Semiconductor (TSEM)... semiconductors
Delta Air Lines (DAL)... airline
Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD)... brewing giant
Ross Stores (ROST)... discount retail
NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
PDD (PDD)... Chinese e-commerce
CAE (CAE)... flight training
Li Auto (LI)... Chinese EV-maker
Trip.com (TCOM)... "China's Priceline"
Comstock Resources (CRK)... natural gas
Source: Daily Wealth
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
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winston - Billionaire Boss
- Posts: 114877
- Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am
Re: US - Market Strategy 04 (Jul 25 - Dec 27)
by behappyalways » Sun May 31, 2026 4:15 pm
On
@cnbcAsiaTV
this morning,
@CommodMkt
said, "Sell The Tweet, Buy The Molcule." Currie detailed that Trump tweeted five times that the war was effectively over, but it has not happened.
https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/2058952106657157372
@cnbcAsiaTV
this morning,
@CommodMkt
said, "Sell The Tweet, Buy The Molcule." Currie detailed that Trump tweeted five times that the war was effectively over, but it has not happened.
https://x.com/biancoresearch/status/2058952106657157372
血要热 头脑要冷 骨头要硬
- behappyalways
- Millionaire Boss
- Posts: 44920
- Joined: Wed Oct 15, 2008 4:43 pm
Re: US - Market Strategy 04 (Jul 25 - Dec 27)
by winston » Mon Jun 01, 2026 5:30 pm
G Sachs: Market in Extreme Greed with Overheating Risk, Single AI Narrative May Be Near Inflection Point
Goldman Sachs partner Mark Wilson wrote in a weekly report that the current market condition can be described as "All Greed, No Fear".
He noted that market sentiment has entered an extreme greed phase, while multiple signals suggest that the single AI narrative dominating the market may be approaching a turning point.
He mentioned that his morning routine has changed. In the past, he would first check headlines on developments in the Middle East. Now, the first thing he does after waking up is to check the share price of SK Hynix in S Korea. He added half-jokingly, "I am not the only one refreshing Hynix's share price every morning."
Wilson highlighted three prominent technical features in the current market that point to overheating risks.
First, sentiment indicators are extremely skewed toward greed.
The put/call ratio in the US equity options market has reached historical extremes.
Second, leveraged capital has surged significantly. Assets under management of single-stock leveraged ETFs with 2x leverage or above have climbed sharply, particularly in the memory chip segment.
Third, the momentum factor has become the strongest force in the market. Within Goldman Sachs global prime brokerage book, exposure to momentum strategies has hit a record high.
He believes multiple signals suggest the market regime may be nearing a turning point: the appointment of a new Federal Reserve Chair, a slowdown in EPS growth after the summer, and the initial framework of a ceasefire agreement with Iran.
If the agreement is finalized, a pullback in oil prices could undermine the "AI + Energy" barbell strategy, with Europe and emerging markets likely to be the biggest beneficiaries.
However, beyond highly elevated sentiment indicators, fundamentals continue to provide considerable support.
Wilson emphasized that, surprisingly, despite already strong earnings growth in 1Q26, expected earnings growth for the next two quarters is still accelerating.
Related News UBS Lifts Micron Technology, Inc. (MU.US) TP to USD1,625, Raises Earnings Forecasts, Reiterates "Buy"
The YoY increase in export prices of S Korea's semiconductors over the past nine months was described by Wilson as "jaw-dropping."
Nevertheless, he also pointed to a key counterargument: excluding AI infrastructure and the energy sector, S&P 500 EPS estimates have seen almost no growth YTD.
In other words, the current earnings-driven logic is highly concentrated, and the market is effectively betting on a single dominant theme.
Source: AASTOCKS Financial News
http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN
Goldman Sachs partner Mark Wilson wrote in a weekly report that the current market condition can be described as "All Greed, No Fear".
He noted that market sentiment has entered an extreme greed phase, while multiple signals suggest that the single AI narrative dominating the market may be approaching a turning point.
He mentioned that his morning routine has changed. In the past, he would first check headlines on developments in the Middle East. Now, the first thing he does after waking up is to check the share price of SK Hynix in S Korea. He added half-jokingly, "I am not the only one refreshing Hynix's share price every morning."
Wilson highlighted three prominent technical features in the current market that point to overheating risks.
First, sentiment indicators are extremely skewed toward greed.
The put/call ratio in the US equity options market has reached historical extremes.
Second, leveraged capital has surged significantly. Assets under management of single-stock leveraged ETFs with 2x leverage or above have climbed sharply, particularly in the memory chip segment.
Third, the momentum factor has become the strongest force in the market. Within Goldman Sachs global prime brokerage book, exposure to momentum strategies has hit a record high.
He believes multiple signals suggest the market regime may be nearing a turning point: the appointment of a new Federal Reserve Chair, a slowdown in EPS growth after the summer, and the initial framework of a ceasefire agreement with Iran.
If the agreement is finalized, a pullback in oil prices could undermine the "AI + Energy" barbell strategy, with Europe and emerging markets likely to be the biggest beneficiaries.
However, beyond highly elevated sentiment indicators, fundamentals continue to provide considerable support.
Wilson emphasized that, surprisingly, despite already strong earnings growth in 1Q26, expected earnings growth for the next two quarters is still accelerating.
Related News UBS Lifts Micron Technology, Inc. (MU.US) TP to USD1,625, Raises Earnings Forecasts, Reiterates "Buy"
The YoY increase in export prices of S Korea's semiconductors over the past nine months was described by Wilson as "jaw-dropping."
Nevertheless, he also pointed to a key counterargument: excluding AI infrastructure and the energy sector, S&P 500 EPS estimates have seen almost no growth YTD.
In other words, the current earnings-driven logic is highly concentrated, and the market is effectively betting on a single dominant theme.
Source: AASTOCKS Financial News
http://www.aastocks.com/en/stocks/news/ ... -news/AAFN
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
-
winston - Billionaire Boss
- Posts: 114877
- Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am
Re: US - Market Strategy 04 (Jul 25 - Dec 27)
by winston » Mon Jun 01, 2026 8:56 pm
HIGHS AND LOWS
NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Morgan Stanley (MS)... financial giant
CrowdStrike (CRWD)... cybersecurity
Dell Technologies (DELL)... laptops and PCs
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)... enterprise IT and infrastructure
NetApp (NTAP)... cloud storage
Enlight Renewable Energy (ENLT)... renewable energy
Penguin Solutions (PENG)... AI infrastructure
Ford Motor (F)... automaker
FedEx (FDX)... shipping
Mercury Systems (MRCY)... "offense" contractor
NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Li Auto (LI)... Chinese EV-maker
Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)... beer
Rollins (ROL)... pest removal
Source: Daily Wealth
NEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Morgan Stanley (MS)... financial giant
CrowdStrike (CRWD)... cybersecurity
Dell Technologies (DELL)... laptops and PCs
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)... enterprise IT and infrastructure
NetApp (NTAP)... cloud storage
Enlight Renewable Energy (ENLT)... renewable energy
Penguin Solutions (PENG)... AI infrastructure
Ford Motor (F)... automaker
FedEx (FDX)... shipping
Mercury Systems (MRCY)... "offense" contractor
NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Li Auto (LI)... Chinese EV-maker
Molson Coors Beverage (TAP)... beer
Rollins (ROL)... pest removal
Source: Daily Wealth
It's all about "how much you made when you were right" & "how little you lost when you were wrong"
-
winston - Billionaire Boss
- Posts: 114877
- Joined: Wed May 07, 2008 9:28 am
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