not vested
Micron Tech - Stock Analyst Research
Target Price* US 1870.00
Micron Technology, Inc - Breaking the boom-and-bust cycle3Q26 revenue/adj PATMI were within our expectations.
9M26 revenue/adj. PATMI were at 73%/72% of our FY26e forecasts.
3Q26 adj. PATMI spiked 12.2x YoY to a record US$28.9bn, driven by 41% YoY bit shipment growth and an est. 215%/272% YoY spike in DRAM/NAND ASPs.
Micron signed 16 long-term strategic customer agreements (SCAs) to date, representing about 20% of DRAM volume and about 30% of NAND volume from 2026-2030e.
Micron’s remaining performance obligations (RPO) from the SCAs were US$100bn, 2.7x of FY25 revenue (3Q26 RPO: US$5bn).
Memory supply remains constrained. We believe visibility from the US$100bn RPO and a total of US$22bn deposits in the SCAs signal customers’ commitment to securing long-term stable memory supply.
We maintain BUY with a higher target price of US$1870. We raised our FY27e revenue/PATMI forecasts by 16%/23% as industry
memory shortage is expected to last beyond 2027e, potentially driving DRAM/NAND ASPs higher.
We roll forward our model and assume 14x FY27e P/E (prev. 9x FY26e P/E), a 52% discount to its peers’ average forward P/E of 29x.
We set a 52% discount because Micron’s remaining ~75% non-SCA revenue is still subject to cyclical mobile, client, and automotive demand.
We believe higher levels of SCA secured will structurally reduce Micron’s cyclicality and drive valuation expansion.
Source: Phillips
https://www.poems.com.sg/stock-research/MU/
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